Toronto Falls Into Moderate Bubble Risk

A global wealth manager ranked Toronto among the weakest major housing markets, with home prices ↓~11% yearly, the steepest annual drop across 23 tracked cities.
The firm said Toronto led from 2014 to 2022, with real home prices doubling during rapid population growth, strong investor demand and robust construction.
Since 2022, higher interest rates, a foreign-buyer ban and added supply had driven a sharp correction, leaving Toronto prices nearly ↓30% from peak.
Toronto landed in the report's moderate bubble-risk category because the correction had already narrowed the gap between home prices and what residents could afford.
The outlook then pointed to continued near-term price pressure in Toronto as inventory rose, growth slowed and possible rate hikes kept buyers cautious.